Publication Date
Fall 2006
Degree Type
Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Science (MS)
Department
Meteorology
Advisor
Eugene Cordero; Tom Ricfeoibach; Shuhua Li
Abstract
The coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) are used to investigate climate change over Southeast Asia (SEA) in the 2U‘ century. Simulations of the 20th century temperature and precipitation are compared to observations and guide the selection of the most appropriate models for the study of fiiture climate change in SEA. These models are run for both low (Bl), and high (A2) emission scenarios. By 2100, model projections show SEA temperature rising by 1.0-2.1°C for the Bl scenario and 2.1-3.8°C for the A2 scenario. Under A2 and Bl scenarios, the average annual precipitation increases by 125-240 mm, although there is large model to model variability. Changes in extreme indices, such as the number of heat wave days, nighttime temperature, and precipitation intensity are also found to increase significantly in the later half of the 21st century.
Recommended Citation
Reamruk, Chakkrit, "IPCC Model Simulations of Future Climate Change in Southeast Asia" (2006). Master's Theses. 5613.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31979/etd.3mak-mnns
https://scholarworks.sjsu.edu/etd_theses/5613
