Publication Date
1-1-2020
Document Type
Article
Publication Title
Atmosphere
Volume
11
Issue
1
DOI
10.3390/ATMOS11010047
Abstract
The November 2018 Camp Fire quickly became the deadliest and most destructive wildfire in California history. In this case study, we investigate the contribution of meteorological conditions and, in particular, a downslope windstorm that occurred during the 2018 Camp Fire. Dry seasonal conditions prior to ignition led to 100-h fuel moisture contents in the region to reach record low levels. Meteorological observations were primarily made from a number of remote automatic weather stations and a mobile scanning Doppler lidar deployed to the fire on 8 November 2018. Additionally, gridded operational forecast models and high-resolution meteorological simulations were synthesized in the analysis to provide context for the meteorological observations and structure of the downslope windstorm. Results show that this event was associated with mid-level anti-cyclonic Rossby wave breaking likely caused by cold air advection aloft. An inverted surface trough over central California created a pressure gradient which likely enhanced the downslope winds. Sustained surface winds between 3-6 m s1 were observed with gusts of over 25 m s-1 while winds above the surface were associated with an intermittent low-level jet. The meteorological conditions of the event were well forecasted, and the severity of the fire was not surprising given the fire danger potential for that day. However, use of surface networks alone do not provide adequate observations for understanding downslope windstorm events and their impact on fire spread. Fire management operations may benefit from the use of operational wind profilers to better understand the evolution of downslope windstorms and other fire weather phenomena that are poorly understood and observed.
Funding Number
1807774
Funding Sponsor
National Science Foundation
Keywords
Camp fire, Doppler lidar, Downslope windstorm, Fire weather, Observations, WRF
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Department
Meteorology and Climate Science
Recommended Citation
Matthew J. Brewer and Craig B. Clements. "The 2018 Camp Fire: Meteorological analysis using in situ observations and numerical simulations" Atmosphere (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/ATMOS11010047
Comments
This is the Version of Record and can also be read online here.