Rising Tides, Sinking Approval Rates: Examining SLR Risk and Mortgage Credit Access

Publication Date

1-1-2025

Document Type

Article

Publication Title

European Financial Management

DOI

10.1111/eufm.12543

Abstract

We measure sea-level rise (SLR) risk using two indicators: SLR Impact (whether a census tract would be inundated under a 1-ft SLR) and SLR Exposure (percentage of land inundated under a 1-ft SLR). SLR-impacted areas see 0.36%–1% lower mortgage approval rates, with a 10% increase in SLR Exposure reducing approvals by 14 basis points. These patterns reflect future SLR risk expectations rather than past flood or hurricane events. We also find higher denial rates in regions with stronger climate risk beliefs and greater SLR risk. Additionally, SLR-related mortgage denials disproportionately affect minority groups.

Keywords

climate risk belief, loan acceptance, mortgage, sea-level rise

Department

Accounting and Finance

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